Here’s the story. I’m starting a newsletter, and I want you to sign up for it.
Some of you may know that a lot has changed for me over the last year. I left my role as Director of Transportation Policy at Uber and took up a fellowship at Harvard, using the time to ask one question: how do we rapidly decarbonize transportation?
My hope is that we’re at a point of historical inflection on this challenge. The last two years have seen a dramatic shift in the politics of climate change. Most countries are now aiming to cut emissions to zero by 2050 or earlier, and transportation is an enormous piece of the puzzle. In the U.S., it’s the single largest source of greenhouse gas emissions. Even in countries successfully addressing climate change in other sectors, transportation emissions continue to rise.
From where I sit, the conversation among transportation professionals seems disconnected from the scale and pace of change necessary to achieve net zero emissions. We need to get more ambitious. As others have argued, “if you work backward from net zero by 2050, you arrive at policy radicalism.”
But what does policy radicalism look like for transport decarbonization? After a year fully focused on this problem and more than a decade in transportation across public, private, and international roles, I’ve got a few ideas.
We need a more frank and open dialogue among a more diverse community of people in order to drive change at the speed and scale that’s necessary. We need to be data-grounded and historically informed. We need to focus less on specific approaches or technologies, and more on a comprehensive vision of getting to zero. We need to combine efforts more deliberately with those focused on the energy transition.
So, a newsletter. A forum to share thoughts and foster a conversation that I think is urgently needed.
What should you expect from this newsletter? A free issue in your inbox every other week (or so). Some of the topics I’m hoping to cover: how do the twin crises of our moment - the COVID pandemic and the uprisings in response to the killing of George Floyd - intersect with the goal of decarbonizing transportation? How much would emissions decline if urban development was twice as dense as it is today? Is an electric hummer the worst thing to ever happen to sustainable transport? ...or the best thing? What role do electric utilities play in this transition? What’s happening in China?
Please do sign up. I’d love to hear your thoughts, suggestions, and comments.
The first issue will focus on a couple of North American cities that have not only set a goal of getting to zero emissions in transportation, but outlined detailed pathways to get there. Sign up to get it directly to your inbox.
Last but not least, some news to catch up on in case you missed it:
Lyft sets a target of 100% electric vehicles by 2030. That is very ambitious. Even California hasn’t discussed the possibility of 100% of new car sales being EVs by 2030, let alone all vehicles, so Lyft would definitely be well ahead of the overall passenger vehicle market if they get it done. Some are skeptical, but may be behind on their research.
California commits to clean trucks. This is big. Freight is a huge driver of transport emissions. It’s also a huge source of air pollution in underserved communities, so the benefits here could be enormous.
The Transit Cooperative Research Program (TCRP) releases a guide for agencies on how to deploy Zero Emission Busses (ZEBs). Expect lots of talk about ZEBs as stimulus, transportation, and climate legislation all move forward in the coming months.
Thanks,
Andrew
Interesting situation you're trying to address. I'm afraid that the timelines you've given are wildly optimistic. If you've been watching the state of the Arctic Ice, you'll see that crucial tipping points will be crossed by/before 2030. Many intelligent people _know_ what needs to be changed. The deeper problem is how to mechanize the changes that are needed? What if you look at the situation as not de-carbonizing transportation, but de-transportationing an economy. Part of the message/lesson of COVID-19 is that transportation and travel are mostly un-necessary for live in the 21st century. Goods can be brought to people far cheaper than people can go pick them up. The tricky bit is setting up all the incentives to drive towards this state. f you can eliminate the vast majority of travel, there is no transportation to de-carbonize.
Hi Andrew, in this brief pandemic cycle I have realize that the maybe one of the most effective/basic options to decarbonize our transportation system in third world countries is to reorganize and optimize the chain of distribution of our basic (and not so basic) daily needs.
As we all know COVID-19 has established high personal mobility restrictions which pushed that most of the middle / high class families got used to on demand every day “fresh” goods.
Even most of the costumers try to achieve a free shipping purchase price the reality is that the “shipping of internet of things” is fulling our roads of semi-empty trucks.
With today technology is easy to:
- Set one daily week of delivery of one company to fulfill their company truck.
- Link different companies locate in 15-30 block radius to full one daily delivery truck and share shipping cost.
-Establish shipping free for just one daily week delivery
As most of human’s problems, good communication is the answer.